Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.251883 4.560764 4.896100 5.290016 5.743817 6.254934 6.881067
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.832253 4.231658 4.689255 5.260890 5.968830 6.835716 8.010149
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.536738 3.995546 4.544483 5.266757 6.220842 7.485939 9.388056
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.302463 3.803749 4.426377 5.284753 6.489860 8.221082 11.139501
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.172821 3.726700 4.441717 5.478053 7.036526 9.502958 14.350673
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.921519 3.470287 4.194800 5.276979 6.976171 9.845033 16.163677
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.801937 3.377062 4.159105 5.375674 7.405370 11.180272 21.248052
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.680979 3.271520 4.095201 5.423665 7.768587 12.572711 28.611683
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.519472 3.097711 3.916954 5.268677 7.744123 13.168281 34.908051
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.365237 2.924290 3.725606 5.070632 7.604917 13.468526 41.314171
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.336333 2.927578 3.799393 5.326814 8.425371 16.776916 92.731988
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.365098 3.016633 4.014636 5.871163 10.078640 24.910103 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.247589 2.891225 3.895566 5.821194 10.453184 29.822926 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.128482 2.755611 3.748083 5.696124 10.613360 34.665835 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.030699 2.646828 3.636589 5.629259 10.939303 42.746717 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.946321 2.553691 3.543910 5.589150 11.358748 55.929733 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.898371 2.515128 3.542961 5.750183 12.574976 105.015508 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.797272 2.384848 3.367474 5.490967 12.159290 114.548294 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.747992 2.336159 3.336024 5.562584 13.108610 302.395353 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.696370 2.280443 3.286787 5.584836 13.917134 11489.092090 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.624467 2.187303 3.160678 5.399178 13.676146 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.553176 2.092194 3.025285 5.175128 13.165709 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.539857 2.093526 3.072864 5.425232 15.308771 NaN NaN